Time Machine · September 2008

2008 Financial Crisis

The Big One

-57%drawdown

Step into September 2008 as Lehman Brothers collapses and the financial system teeters. The S&P 500 fell 57% over 17 months — the worst crash since the Great Depression. Buffett said 'Buy American. I am.' near the lows. What would you have done?

Hold through the worst, or run?

Enter the Time Machine and trade 2008 Financial Crisis with real historical prices. Time rolls forward on its own, headlines break as they did, and an AI coach grades every decision.

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What happened

On September 15, 2008, Lehman Brothers filed for the largest bankruptcy in US history. The next day the Fed bailed out insurer AIG, and the financial system looked like it might collapse.

Congress passed a $700 billion bank bailout (TARP), yet the market kept falling. The S&P 500 dropped 57% over 17 months — the worst crash since the Great Depression. In October, near the lows, Warren Buffett published a New York Times op-ed titled 'Buy American. I Am.'

The absolute bottom came on March 9, 2009, with the S&P 500 at 676. A $10,000 investment made at that bottom grew to roughly $50,000 by 2020.

By the numbers

−57%

Drawdown

17 months

Duration

~5 years

Time to fully recover

~80

Peak VIX (fear)

Timeline

  1. Sep 15, 2008

    Lehman Brothers files for bankruptcy

  2. Sep 29, 2008

    Dow drops 777 points — worst point drop at the time

  3. Oct 3, 2008

    Congress passes the $700B TARP bailout

  4. Oct 16, 2008

    Buffett: 'Buy American. I Am.'

  5. Feb 17, 2009

    $787B stimulus signed

  6. Mar 9, 2009

    Market bottoms — S&P 500 at 676

The lesson

Even the worst crash in modern history recovered fully. The bottom felt like the end of the world — which is exactly when the best long-term returns are made.

Real headlines

Period news breaks day by day as it actually did.

Fear gauge

The real VIX shows how scared the market was.

Coach & leaderboard

Every call is scored; climb the scenario leaderboard.